Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.450099 0.520842 0.598264 0.689176 0.792892 0.907414 1.043340
2025-07-06 0.322693 0.416226 0.529133 0.674952 0.857738 1.078690 1.365393
2025-07-13 0.263083 0.367421 0.502681 0.689757 0.940512 1.263561 1.709617
2025-07-20 0.230311 0.343227 0.498333 0.725034 1.045607 1.479975 2.109775
2025-07-27 0.202353 0.319283 0.488254 0.747361 1.131088 1.674011 2.494702
2025-08-03 0.176720 0.293782 0.470931 0.754638 1.192622 1.836745 2.847165
2025-08-10 0.153842 0.268510 0.449635 0.751586 1.235870 1.973696 3.170777
2025-08-17 0.133776 0.244499 0.426603 0.741833 1.265742 2.090551 3.471113
2025-08-24 0.117394 0.224134 0.406514 0.733586 1.295579 2.207770 3.779333
2025-08-31 0.101046 0.201365 0.379284 0.709529 1.295567 2.275192 4.010419
2025-09-07 0.096342 0.199207 0.387577 0.747662 1.404433 2.530040 4.571152
2025-09-14 0.084194 0.181117 0.364783 0.727049 1.407312 2.604319 4.829176
2025-09-21 0.073450 0.164514 0.343188 0.706967 1.410417 2.681436 5.102996
2025-09-28 0.064427 0.150171 0.324265 0.689909 1.417498 2.766397 5.398634
2025-10-05 0.059799 0.144493 0.321837 0.704835 1.486699 2.969801 5.926100
2025-10-12 0.057580 0.143798 0.329487 0.740817 1.600230 3.264547 6.646290
2025-10-19 0.054358 0.140336 0.330813 0.763598 1.688992 3.518358 7.306792
2025-10-26 0.050216 0.134091 0.325299 0.771023 1.746516 3.715138 7.870223
2025-11-02 0.045750 0.126378 0.315535 0.767909 1.781161 3.868319 8.357330
2025-11-09 0.041310 0.118062 0.303361 0.757957 1.799880 3.990076 8.789118
2025-11-16 0.037448 0.110652 0.292411 0.749542 1.820939 4.117762 9.241647
2025-11-23 0.033094 0.101243 0.275448 0.724996 1.803180 4.161725 9.521182
2025-11-30 0.032516 0.102193 0.284366 0.763905 1.934601 4.535548 10.529881